Labour’s voter coalition broke more to left than right at 2026 local elections

Labour lost almost four times as many voters to the Greens than to Reform UK
- Just 46% of 2024 Labour voters who voted in this May’s council elections were loyal to the party, with more switching to the Greens (22%) than Reform UK (6%)
- 55% of voting 2024 Conservatives stuck with their previous choice, while a third instead voted for Reform UK
- Those who voted Reform UK are particularly likely to say they made their choice because of the performance of the national government
- Four in ten Labour and Lib Dem voters say wanting to stop another party from winning was one of the top reasons they voted the way they did
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Our new data suggests that just 46% of 2024 Labour voters who voted at the 2026 local elections stayed loyal to the party this time around, with roughly one in five (22%) instead backing the Greens and around one in six (16%) voting for the Liberal Democrats. Smaller numbers switched to Reform UK (6%), the Conservatives (5%), or independents, local groups and minor parties (5%).
These figures are in line with analysis of the results data at ward level, which suggest that the Greens did better the more Labour fell back. Labour’s almost 4:1 ratio of voters lost to the Greens versus defecting to Reform UK is significantly greater than we see in our nationwide polling, but this will be driven in part by the high concentration of urban, Green-friendly areas up for election on 7 May.
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Original article at https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54811-labours-voter-coalition-broke-more-to-left-than-right-at-2026-local-elections
