NHS news review: There should be no place for the profit motive when it comes to peoples’ health.

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A few recent news articles about the UK’s Conservative and Liberal-Democrat (Conservative) coalition government – the ConDem’s – brutal attack on the National Health Service.

I’m glad to see some commentary and analysis concerning the breast implant scandal and the NHS. Many private cosmetic surgery companies are refusing to replace sub-standard breast implants made by the French company PIP.

There are lessons here about private companies involvement in healthcare.

Firstly, the French company producing the sub-standard implants did it in the pursuit of profit. The company disregarded the health effects to patients of using prohibited substances and deliberately deceived inspectors to make more profits.

Secondly, many private cosmetic surgery companies are quick to take your money and hesitant in assisting their former patients when it becomes known that they have been pedalling sub-standard products. Clearly, this is the profit motive again. There should be no place for the profit motive when it comes to peoples’ health.

Thirdly, the NHS is there as a last resort … for now. What would happen once the NHS is abolished according to the scum Con-Dem coalition government’s plans? There would be nobody to care for people as a last resort. Former patients would be forced to pay again after botched surgery or suffer the consequences. Again, there should be no place for the profit motive when it comes to peoples’ health.

Dr Richard Horton, the editor of medical journal the Lancet discusses the NHS and the breast implant scandal.

NHS ‘will be destroyed’ by private health care companies, warns doctor – Telegraph

Dr Richard Horton, the editor of medical journal the Lancet, said the NHS was paying the price for a lack of regulation that has led to the breast implant scandal.

His comments came as Health Secretary Andrew Lansley prepared to make another statement to the Commons about what the NHS can do for women with PIP implants that are at risk of rupturing.

Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today Programme, Dr Horton said: “What we have seen in this latest episode is private sector providers of health care simply walking away from their responsibility to patients.

“The Secretary of State has absolutely no ability other than pleading with private sector companies to fulfil their duty of care to patients. We saw Andrew Lansley; all he was able to say was they have a moral duty and he asked them to do what the NHS was doing.”

He raised concerns about other kinds of common implants and devices such as hip and heart valve replacements.

“The way it was described at a recent safety of devices meeting was that we have a smokescreen of device regulation, which is unfortunately putting patients and surgeons at risk,” he said.

“What we will see with private providers is a fragmentation of the NHS, with no accountability, we will see no transparency, we will see the diminution in the quality of care.

“And unfortunately what we are seeing with the breast implant scandal is the future of the NHS, it will be destroyed.”

It has been estimated that the breast implant scandal could cost as much as £11 million after a top cosmetic surgery clinic refused to pay for operations to remove faulty implants.

The Department of Health said it would “pursue private clinics” but said it would help women who were refused surgery or care.

Cosmetic surgery companies’ responses:

Breast implant scandal: 9 in 10 women will use NHS – Telegraph

So far, eight private firms have offered to remove and replace faulty breast implants free of charge, if they performed the operation in the first place.

However, most of these only used the French-made implants on a relatively small number of women.

In total, the eight firms offering free removal performed breast enlargement operations used the implants on between 3,000 and 4,000 women.

By comparison, at least 40,000 women have been given the implants, made by now-defunct firm Poly Implant Protheses (PIP), in Britain over the last decade.

The firms that have agreed to offer removal and replacement are as follows:

Nuffield Healthcare

The first company to say it would fund removal (on Wednesday January 4) it used PIPs on about 150 women. The firm said it would meet all costs of investigation, further surgical treatment and removal, if needed, for all of them.

Spire Healthcare

Agreed on Friday January 6 to fund removal and replacement for the 1,500 women who had received PIPs through the company.

Linia

Said at the weekend it would remove and replace implants for some 1,540 women who had received them at the firm’s clinics, but only “when appropriate” and on a “case-by-case” basis.

BMI Healthcare

Has announced it will remove and replace implants for women who received PIPs at BMI’s clinics “at no cost”, and will also remove and replace implants for women who originally received them elsewhere for “a guaranteed fixed price package”.

In total, the two categories include some 1,311 women, although a spokesman refused to say how many had originally received them at BMI.

Ramsay Healthcare

Has agreed to fund removal and replacement after consultation with a clinician for some 150 former clients.

MYA

Will remove and replace PIP implants for the 46 clients who received them there in the past, free of charge.

Aspen

Has agreed to fund removal and replacement after consultation with a clinician for “just over” 150 former clients.

HCA

Has stated HCA will “meet the cost incurred” for those former patients who received PIPs and “require clinical investigation or further surgical support, including the removal of the PIP implant due to clinical need”, including the distress of having them.

UNISON Press | Press Releases Front Page

UNISON, the UK’s largest union, is calling on the government to learn lessons from the implant replacement disaster, and put a stop to its plan to hand over large swathes of our NHS to private companies.

The union has consistently warned that the moves – outlined in the Health and Social Care bill – would see profits put before patients. The case of rich medical groups refusing to remove potentially dangerous implants from worried patients is deeply alarming.

Christina McAnea, UNISON head of health, said:

“The Secretary of State is handing over large parts of our NHS to the private sector and he will be unable to control them. Appealing to these companies to do the right thing will not be enough. When will Andrew Lansley realise that his own Bill will render him increasingly impotent in intervening in such cases in future? It is time to drop the Bill to protect patients.”

In other news:

BBC News – BBC wins right to broadcast prisoner interview

The High Court has ruled that Justice Secretary Ken Clarke was wrong to stop the BBC filming a terrorism suspect held for seven years without trial.

The court said there was public interest in interviewing Babar Ahmad, due to the case’s exceptional nature.

The Justice Secretary had argued an interview was not necessary to inform the public about Mr Ahmad’s story.

Tories would have avoided coalition if boundary changes were in place in 2010 | Politics | The Guardian

The Conservatives may have been able to avoid entering a coalition with the Liberal Democrats had the 2010 election been carried out using the new proposed boundaries for the United Kingdom, analysis by the Guardian suggests.

Publication of new electoral boundaries for Wales comes in the wake of similar proposals for the other parts of the union and allows, for the first time, modelling of the effects of the proposed changes across the country.

Decision due on torture charges against MI5 and MI6 | Law | guardian.co.uk

British spies are expected to find out on Thursday whether they will face charges over their alleged complicity in the torture of terror suspects.

Several MI5 and MI6 agents are understood to be at the centre of criminal investigations into the treatment of former detainees including UK resident Binyam Mohamed. Prisoners at Guantánamo Bay have claimed British security and intelligence officials colluded in their torture and abuse.

The Crown Prosecution Service will issue a statement “announcing a number of decisions in relation to the investigations into the alleged ill treatment of detainees”. The announcement comes after human rights campaigners condemned the US government’s ongoing failure to close Guantánamo, 10 years after the arrival of its first inmates.

An inquiry into British complicity in torture and rendition is expected to begin after the police investigation delivers its report.

Liberal Democrats’ biggest donor arrested in the Caribbean | Politics | The Guardian

The Liberal Democrats’ biggest donor, who has been on the run for three years after being convicted of a multimillion pound theft, has been arrested by police in the Dominican Republic, the Guardian can disclose.

Michael Brown, who bankrolled the party with £2.4m of stolen money, was detained near the resort of Punta Cana on the easternmost tip of the Caribbean island this week. Interpol has been informed.

Named by City of London police as one of Britain’s most wanted fraudsters,

Brown, 45, disappeared while on bail for a £40m fraud and was sentenced in his absence to seven years in prison.

Continue ReadingNHS news review: There should be no place for the profit motive when it comes to peoples’ health.

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Conservative election poster 2010

A few recent news articles about the UK’s Conservative and Liberal-Democrat (Conservative) coalition government – the ConDem’s – brutal attack on the National Health Service.

Run to London from Bevan’s statue in Cardiff will highlight ‘threats to the NHS’ – Health News – News – WalesOnline

A 160-mile protest run will start in Cardiff tomorrow to highlight doctors’ fears about plans for NHS England. Leading Welsh doctor Stefan Coghlan explains why he’s taking part in Bevan’s Run

BEVAN’S Run, which starts from the statue of Aneurin Bevan, the founder of the National Helath Service, in Queen Street, Cardiff, tomorrow, is the idea of Dr Clive Peedell, a clinical oncologist from Middlesbrough.

He plans to run 160 miles to the Department of Health in a protest about the Health and Social Care Bill, which will transform the NHS in England.

Dr Peedell, like many other doctors, believes the proposals will undermine Bevan’s founding principles.

Dr Stefan Coghlan, the British Medical Association’s Welsh Council chairman, will be running alongside Dr Peedell when he starts his cross-country protest.

Here he explains why:

“I THINK what Clive is doing is fantastic – it’s a big feat to run 160 miles in five days. I’m only going to make a relatively small contribution compared to that by seeing him off and running 10k myself.

“The Health and Social Care Bill poses such a great threat to a publicly- owned and publicly-funded NHS in England that every citizen should be concerned about it.

“The impact isn’t confined to England, as it will also affect Wales because a proportion of NHS services, like specialist care, are provided in England.

“We have to be concerned about ensuring these services are of the same quality as we have now.

“The Health and Social Care Bill is about the privatisation of the NHS – it’s not just about providers of care looking to make profits but there’s also the potential for commissioners to be making money from their patients.

“The only way they will be able to do this is by trimming services; rationing services and by providing lower quality services and that will affect our patients, more so in England.

Overseas nurse numbers rise by 40% | News | Nursing Times

The number of nurses coming to work in the UK from overseas rose by 40% last year, new figures show.

According to the Sunday Mirror, there were 3,197 nurses from the EU registered in the NHS between November 2010 and November 2011. This was compared with 2,256 during the previous 12 months.

NHS leaders say they are increasingly looking to recruit more nurses from Europe due to senior staff members retiring and the falling number of trainee nurses in the UK.

Of the 660,000 nurses working in the NHS, around 87,000 are from overseas. The majority of these hail from the Philippines, Australia, India and South Africa.

The trend has seen many hospitals running language classes to help their staff understand commonly used English phrases.

Royal College of Nursing general secretary Peter Carter told the Sunday Mirror: “We fully support nurses’ rights to work in other countries around the world. But patient safety must remain the top priority and staff must have the skills for the job.

“Britain should plan ahead and train enough staff to meet our needs.”

NHS Pensions, BMA Launches Final Survey Of Its Members, UK

About 130,000 BMA Doctors and medical students across the UK will be questioned regarding the government’s final offer in negotiations on the future of the NHS pension scheme in a major survey that has been launched by the BMA (British Medical Association).

The BMA intends to learn whether the participants’ views on the offer are acceptable or not. If they are not acceptable, they want to know what action the participants are prepared to take, which could potentially lead to a formal ballot on industrial action.

Even though improvements have been negotiated on the original offer, all doctors still remain to be hard hit. The deductible amount for their pension will be increased from their pay this April, with further increases to follow in 2013 and 2014. For those at the beginning of their career this means they possibly pay more than £200,000 in additional lifetime contributions, whilst the normal pension age would increase, with many doctors having to work until the age of 68 years before they are able to receive a full pension. In addition, the current final salary scheme would be changed to a new career average scheme, which would leave the majority of doctors with worse overall benefits.

Dr Hamish Meldrum, Chairman of Council at the BMA, declared:

“We want doctors and medical students to be fully aware of what’s coming their way, and to have their say on what happens. Everyone will be affected, and it’s up to the whole medical profession to influence what we do next. Either way, the implications are huge. We face either major, damaging changes to our pensions, or the first ballot of doctors on industrial action since the seventies.

The BMA, along with the other unions, has not accepted the offer. That, quite rightly, is for our members to help decide. Throughout intensive negotiations, we repeatedly pointed out that the NHS pension was radically overhauled only three years ago, and is actually delivering a positive cash flow to the Treasury.” …

Unite rejects “pernicious” NHS pension proposals | PJ Online

Unite, the parent trade union of the Guild of Healthcare Pharmacists, has officially rejected the latest Government proposals on NHS pension reforms.

The union’s Health Sector National Industrial Committee unanimously threw out the Government’s recommendations, as outlined in the “Heads of agreement” document published last month (20 December 2011).

The proposals were described as pernicious by Unite’s general secretary Len McCluskey. He said they are an attempt to force NHS staff to work longer until reaching retirement, as well as pay higher pension contributions for a lower payout.

BBC News – Ministers back call to quiz patients on lifestyles

NHS staff in England must adapt their roles to ensure they promote good health under plans being published.

An independent panel of government advisers says health professionals should take every opportunity to discuss diet, exercise, smoking and drinking habits.

Ministers have backed the proposal from the NHS Future Forum to “make every contact count”.

But the Royal College of GPs says the move could drive some patients away.

The recommendation is part of a series of papers from the panel of independent experts. Their first report last year outlined changes to the Health and Social Care Bill.

They are now setting out their conclusions on four other areas – public health, information, improving links between services and education and training.

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Conservative election poster 2010

A few recent news articles about the UK’s Conservative and Liberal-Democrat (Conservative) coalition government – the ConDem’s – brutal attack on the National Health Service.

Public sector pensions offer rejected by Unite health workers | Society | guardian.co.uk

Health workers at Britain’s largest trade union, Unite, have rejected the government’s “final offer” on NHS pensions reform.

The move comes at the start of a crunch week of union meetings that will help decide whether there is a third wave of the industrial action that caused widespread disruption on 30 June and 30 November last year.

Len McCluskey, the general secretary of Unite, which represents around 100,000 health workers including pharmacists and laboratory assistants, said: “Our NHS executive unanimously reject the government’s pernicious attempts to make hard working and dedicated NHS staff pay more, work longer and get less when they retire.

“The government’s attacks on public sector pensions are politically motivated, as part of an overall design to privatise the NHS, cut public services, break-up the national pay agreements, and disrupt legitimate trade union activities and organisation.”

McCluskey said Unite would continue to campaign against the reforms proposals, which include increasing contributions, pegging the NHS pension age to the state pension age and the uprating of benefits from the RPI rate of inflation to the less buoyant CPI.

PM orders regular ward rounds, nurse leadership and reduced bureaucracy | News | Nursing Times

David Cameron today called for wider uptake of intentional nursing rounds and reduced bureaucracy, and established a nurse review group to address concerns about NHS care standards.

The Prime Minister praised nurses but said he had concerns about standards of care being provided in some areas. He called for several nursing initiatives to be taken up and extended (see box).

He said: “We need an NHS which ensures that every patient is cared for with compassion and dignity in a clean environment.

“If we want dignity and respect, we need to focus on nurses and the care they deliver. Somewhere in the last decade the health system has conspired to undermine one of this country’s greatest professions. It’s not one problem in particular. It’s the stifling bureaucracy.”

As revealed by Nursing Times yesterday, Mr Cameron announced the creation of a Nurse Quality Forum group to lead the uptake of good practice and recommend ways of improving care standards.

It will be composed nurses, nursing leaders and patients and be “charged with taking a national leadership role in promoting excellent care and ensuring good practice is adopted across the NHS”.

UNISON Press | Press Releases Front Page

UNISON, the UK’s largest health union, today urged the government not to waste time going over old ground, and take the recent Nursing and Midwifery Commission findings as the starting point for boosting care in the NHS.

The union warned that, as high quality care depends on well-resourced and well-staffed hospital wards, job losses and post freezes for NHS staff across the board will be real barriers to boosting standards.

Gail Adams, UNISON Head of Nursing, said:

“We are calling on the government not to waste time going over old ground, and use the recent Nursing and Midwifery Commission’s findings as its starting point.

“All the research points to higher nurse to patient ratios delivering higher outcomes. Yet all over the country, nursing posts are being frozen, or even lost. And job losses elsewhere in the health service have a huge knock on effect on frontline care. As admin workers lose their jobs, it’s clinical staff such as nurses who have to pick up the pieces, filling in forms rather than being on the wards.

“It is a sad fact that only a quarter of nurses would now recommend joining their profession. This collapse in morale – together with the loss of jobs and dedicated NHS staff – will be a real barrier to delivering high quality patient care.”

People will take Cameron’s pronouncements on the NHS with a pinch of salt – Burnham | The Labour Party

Andy Burnham MP, Labour’s Shadow Health Secretary, said in response to David Cameron’s announcement on hospital care:

“People have learnt from bitter experience to take David Cameron’s pronouncements on the NHS with more than a pinch of salt.

“This is the man who promised no top-down re-organisation of the NHS but then brought forward the biggest in its history. This is the man who is wasting £3.45bn on back-office restructuring whilst axeing 48,000 nursing posts.

“If David Cameron really wants to help nurses focus on patient care, he should listen to what they are saying and drop his unnecessary Health Bill. His reckless decision to re-organise the NHS at this time of financial challenge not only proves he is out of touch but also threatens to throw the entire system into chaos.”

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Conservative election poster 2010

A few recent news articles about the UK’s Conservative and Liberal-Democrat (Conservative) coalition government – the ConDem’s – brutal attack on the National Health Service.

David Cameron orders merging of health and social care | Politics | The Guardian

David Cameron has ordered health and social care services to be brought together in order to benefit patients in a move which government advisers are calling the NHS’s most urgent overhaul.

At the moment, health and social care – the help given mainly to old or disabled patients to help them continue to live at home rather than in hospital or nursing homes – are different systems in England. NHS medical treatment and domiciliary support, which is provided mainly by local councils, are usually not joined-up.

But Cameron has told the health secretary, Andrew Lansley, to drive through changes that health policy experts claim will make life more convenient for patients, improve care and save the NHS money.

The changes will lead to some hospitals closing, warned the pro-integration NHS Confederation, which represents hospitals and other major NHS employers.

Andrew Lansley plays down breast implant rupture fears | Politics | guardian.co.uk

Health secretary cites figures pointing to ‘acceptable’ risk and holds out hope for greater assurance by the end of the week

Andrew Lansley, the health secretary, has said he hopes the government’s expert working group will be able to give “definitive advice” on substandard breast implants by the end of the week as he criticised private cosmetic surgery providers for giving “inconsistent and poor quality” data to the review into the risk of rupture.

Speaking on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme, Lansley sought to play down the health risks posed by the French implants, citing figures from the Independent Healthcare Advisory Service, which the service says indicate an acceptably low rupture rate. But he acknowleded that the official advice could change once the review had the complete picture.

“From my point of view I want to give women a degree of reassurance,” he said. He hoped the expert group, chaired by the NHS medical director, Sir Bruce Keogh, give greater assurance about the official advice by the end of the week.

Doctor in Aneurin Bevan protest run over NHS changes – Health News – News – WalesOnline

Dr Clive Peedell is planning to run from Bevan’s statue in Cardiff to the Department of Health, in London, in just six days in a symbolic act opposing the UK Government’s Health and Social Care Bill to reform the NHS in England.

The clinical oncologist, who is based in Middlesbrough, will be joined by anaesthetist Stefan Coghlan, who is the chair of the British Medical Association’s Welsh Council, on the opening miles of the first Cardiff to Chepstow leg of the Bevan’s Run.

Dr Peedell told the Western Mail: “The Health and Social Care Bill does mainly affect England but the knock-on effect for Wales and Scotland could be significant for years to come.

“Bevan was the founder of the NHS and I think he would be appalled at this Bill as it undermines the founding principles of a comprehensive service, free at the point of use whatever people’s medical condition so the most vulnerable have just as good care as anyone else.

“This Bill will undermine that because of the high privatisation element it contains – it will legislate for the external market to bring in more private sector and bankrupt the system.

“The number of core NHS services will shrink. We’re already seeing cutbacks on people who smoke and are obese. As the pot of money shrinks further we will see less and less NHS delivered free at the point of care and a drive towards more insurance.”

Labour should beware of criticising GPs for being double paid | From the Editors | GPonline.com Blogs

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Conservative election poster 2010

A few recent news articles about the UK’s Conservative and Liberal-Democrat (Conservative) coalition government – the ConDem’s – brutal attack on the National Health Service.

NHS news is dominated by the substandard breast implants made by the French company PIP.

A story by the Guardian from about a week ago David Cameron’s pledge to protect NHS clouded by emerging reality of cuts | Society | The Guardian.

Day by day, the hope that frontline NHS services would somehow remain magically untouched by the coalition’s austerity drive is revealed as a fantasy. The problem for David Cameron and his health secretary, Andrew Lansley, though, is their repeated promises – in opposition and in government – that the NHS was different, its budget would be ringfenced and that care would be maintained. That was encapsulated in the prime minister’s clear pledge that “We’ll cut the deficit, not the NHS”. But what was politically useful then is becoming politically perilous now.

A survey of its members carried out by Doctors.net.uk reveals that four out of five GPs and hospital doctors have seen cuts to staff or services in their own part of the NHS in the last year. It was a small sample, just 664 respondents; and it was self-selecting, which tends to skew any poll towards the malcontented, and thus exaggerate the negative. But key organisations working at or near the frontline agree that the findings give a broadly accurate picture of the emerging reality in the NHS.

In Surrey and Hampshire dozens of children with ME or chronic fatigue syndrome are preparing to lose the support of a consultant and a nurse specialising in that condition, as both the Frimley-based health professionals are not being replaced. In Lewisham, south London, almost £500,000 has been chopped in this financial year from the budget for children’s mental health services. In Camden, north London, doubt surrounds the future of the InterAct Reading Services charity, which gets actors to read stories to hospital patients to help their rehabilitation, because local primary care trusts (PCTs) – which are being abolished in April 2013 as part of the coalition’s NHS shake-up – have reduced or withdrawn funding ahead of their disappearance.

NHS-funded public health observatories in London, the north-west and the north-east – which are not scheduled to close – are nevertheless also at risk, says the Commons health select committee.

Some PCTs have reduced the amount of Viagra they will supply to men with erectile dysfunction. In Lambeth, south London, the PCT has cut the number of patients eligible to receive free incontinence pads, reports Dr Clare Gerada, a local GP and chair of the Royal College of GPs. Access to IVF, cataract removal or a new hip or knee has been tightened by dozens of PCTs. In addition, hospitals appear to be reducing the number of follow-up appointments they give patients suffering with rheumatic, skin or urology problems, as they too, like PCTs, seek to save money and contribute to the ‘Nicholson challenge”, which wants the NHS in England to make £20bn of efficiency savings by 2015.

In Ashford, Middlesex, Dr Peter Kandela, a local GP, tells his patients in his regular surgery bulletin of three different money-saving measures. Some patients have been switched from their usual medication to other branded drugs because the latter “are far cheaper and save the NHS money”. GPs have also been told by the local PCT to stop issuing long-term repeat prescriptions and to hand out scripts for just two months supply of drugs instead, except for the pill. And lastly, “we have received notifications from the skin department at Ashford & St Peter’s hospital that they would no longer accept referrals for benign moles, cysts, skin tags and other non-cancerous conditions. Workload is blamed for these decisions. Sadly, we shall no longer be able to make referrals for these conditions,” Kandela explains.

These are not life-saving services, and indeed removal of unsightly but benign skin tags is arguably not what the NHS is there for anyway. But these services do aid patients’ quality of life, boost their chance of recovering or enhance their mental health. Yet they are increasingly being deemed no longer affordable by NHS bosses.

Dr Mark Porter, chairman of the British Medical Association’s hospital consultants committee, says: “Things like orthopaedic surgery, eye surgery and IVF are not even debatable in the way that tattoo removal might be. There’s an ethical debate to be had about [cutting] some things, but not about things like knee pain and back pain, which can be offered to patients but we are choosing not to.”

No wonder private health providers are starting to see an increase in the number of people prepared to pay for rapid treatment of conditions that their local NHS deemed unnecessary or not an urgent priority.

In other news, housing benefit is getting cut imminently causing a housing shortage and driving the working poor as well as the unemployed and disabled into ghettoes.

Housing benefit cuts will put 800,000 homes out of reach, according to study | Society | The Guardian

A further 800,000 homes will be put out of reach of people on housing benefit because of government welfare cuts – leaving low income families the choice of cutting spending on food to pay the rent or moving out, according to a study by housing experts.

The Chartered Institute of Housing has found there will be thousands more claimants than properties that are affordable on benefits alone, raising the possibility that the poor will migrate to “benefit ghettoes” in seaside towns or the north of England.

From this month, the government has capped housing benefit payments to, for example, a maximum £250 a week on a two-bedroom home. The cut is compounded by the allowances being scaled back by pegging them to the bottom third of rents in any borough.

The result is that in many towns and cities there will not be enough affordable homes to rent for those claiming local housing allowance, the benefit paid to tenants of private landlords. The problem is most acute in central London, where in two of the country’s richest boroughs – Westminster, and Kensington and Chelsea – more than 35,000 homes will at a stroke be put out of reach of people on housing benefit.

It is unlikely that the poor will be able migrate to cheaper parts of the capital: in Newham, east London, there will be twice as many claimants as there are low-cost homes. In Croydon, 17,000 people will be chasing 10,000 properties.

The effect will be felt not just in south-east England. Before today, Birmingham had more than 37,000 homes with rents affordable on welfare. Now 34,500 housing benefit claimants will be chasing 23,000 low-cost houses, according to the analysis, carried out for the Guardian. On the Mersey, 21,000 people collecting local housing allowance will only be able to afford 12,000 homes in Liverpool.

The changes will also see people forced to move from where jobs are to where there are far fewer, the institute warns. “The analysis shows that big cities where we expect to find most of the jobs and the most varied employment are the worst hit by the government changes. If this (is supposed) to help people in terms of getting them into work then it looks as if it will not succeed.”

Charities said the analysis vindicated their warnings that the government’s plan will cause homelessness. Leslie Morphy of the charity Crisis said: “The figures make clear that there will just not be enough properties anywhere that are affordable on these reduced benefit levels. With unemployment rising and more people relying on housing benefit, yet soaring demand for properties, the government’s plans just don’t add up – we urge them to stop and reconsider.”

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