local election results

Basic UK local elections maths

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Math in the US, maths in the UK …

Summary of my basic maths on the UK election results so far. I’m starting from the interim results reported at https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/england/results at 10.10 am BST, there are still a few results to be announced.

The Conservative Party has done very poorly, losing 48.5% of it’s elected councillors.

The Labour Party has only a 20% gain in elected councillors and so hasn’t done particularly well from Conservative losses.

The Liberal Democrats have a 25% gain, getting an extra 101 elected councillors.

The Green Party and Independents have a gain of between 69 and 70%, the big winners yet again.

Residents Associations have a 30% gain.

Reform UK have done well with 2 councillors, none before.

Workers Party of Britain – George Galloway’s party – have done very well with 4 councillors, none before.

My maths skills are not capable of calculating percentage increase from nothing to 2 or 4, don’t know how it is applied.

Continue ReadingBasic UK local elections maths

No landslide in sight for ‘Blairism on steroids’

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https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/f/no-landslide-sight-blairism-steroids

The local election results show no political vision is emerging to capture hearts and minds – Labour is simply waiting for the other parties to become even less appealing, writes ANDREW MURRAY

Image of Keir Starmer sucking up to the rich and powerful at the World Economic Forum, Davos
Image of Keir Starmer sucking up to the rich and powerful at the World Economic Forum, Davos

WEAK and boring. Correct — it’s Keir Starmer we’re discussing.

Thus the choices of a representative cross-section of voters asked by a polling company to sum up the Labour leader in a word.

Untrustworthy leaps out of the word cloud too.

It can all be rendered in a number as well. The one that counts is 35. That is the percentage of the electorate intending to vote Labour at the next general election, according to extrapolations from the local election results.

It is an astonishing figure. It is just 7 per cent ahead of the Tories, dramatically less than the score recorded in various opinion polls over the last year, which gave Labour leads of up to 30 per cent.

It is also, note carefully, just 3 per cent up on Labour’s score in the 2019 election, and 5 per cent less than a Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour secured in 2017.

On these projections, there will be no Labour landslide at the next election, and perhaps not even an overall majority in the House of Commons.

All this after 13 years of austerity, authoritarianism, a cruelly bungled pandemic, Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, and the dystopian prospect of “national conservatism” a la Braverman next on the menu.

…

https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/f/no-landslide-sight-blairism-steroids

Continue ReadingNo landslide in sight for ‘Blairism on steroids’