Original article by Stephen Prager republished from Common Dreams under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). 

Meanwhile, newly released documents suggest the administration is gearing up to have troops in the region until the end of Trump’s term.

Following reports that the Trump administration is eyeing a “deadly new phase” of military actions against Venezuela, including land strikes, a new report suggests that the US troops stationed near the South American nation are being denied holiday leave in anticipation of immediate action.

On Monday, NewsNation White House Correspondent Kellie Meyer reported via social media that the United States Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) is “restricting/limiting leave over the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays in preparation for possible land strikes in the next 10 days to two weeks.”

SOUTHCOM has denied the claim, with a spokesperson saying: “Our service members and civilian employees are always afforded the opportunity to take leave throughout the year, and that includes holiday periods.”

As of yet, reports only suggest that the US may be planning imminent airstrikes against Venezuela. But as documents reported Tuesday by The Intercept revealed, the US is planning to maintain “a massive military presence in the Caribbean almost to the end of President Donald Trump’s term in office—suggesting the recent influx of American troops to the region won’t end anytime soon.”

According to the report: “One spreadsheet outlining supplies for ‘Puerto Rico Troops’ notes tens of thousands of pounds of baked goods are scheduled for delivery from November 15 of this year to November 11, 2028. Foodstuff set to feed the troops include individually wrapped honey buns, vanilla cupcakes, sweet rolls, hamburger rolls, and flour tortillas.” The food is slated to be delivered to every branch of the military, including the Coast Guard, Army, Navy, Air Force, and Marine Corps.

“The procurement’s length of time and the level of effort seemed to point to these operations continuing at the current level for several years,” said Mark Cancian, an analyst with the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “That’s significant because it means that the Navy will maintain a large presence in the Caribbean that is far larger than what it has been in recent years. It further implies that the Navy will be involved in these counter-drug operations.”

The Pentagon currently has more than 15,000 troops stationed in the region, the most since 1989, when the US launched a land invasion of Panama to topple the drug-running dictator Manuel Noriega, whom it had previously supported.

The reports came shortly after the US State Department designated the so-called “Cartel de los Soles,” which the US accuses Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro of leading, as a “terrorist organization.” This is despite the fact that it is not actually an organized cartel at all, but a media shorthand developed to refer to the alleged connections that high-level Venezuelan officials have to the drug trade.

“It is not a group,” Adam Isaacson, director for defense oversight at the Washington Office on Latin America organization, told the Associated Press Tuesday. “It’s not like a group that people would ever identify themselves as members. They don’t have regular meetings. They don’t have a hierarchy.”

Colombian journalist Juan Esteban Silva explains that the terrorist designation, despite its factual flimsiness, “gives the US authority to conduct covert operations, bring terrorism and drug charges, issue international arrest warrants, freeze assets, and block transactions. It also enables extraterritorial prosecution, travel restrictions, broader law enforcement and military cooperation, and asset seizures.”

Maduro’s government called the designation an “infamous, vile lie to justify an illegitimate and illegal intervention against Venezuela under the classic US format of regime change.”

It comes after Reuters reported Sunday that “covert operations” in Venezuela “would likely be the first part of the new action against Maduro” and that the US was “prepared to use every element of American power” to achieve its goals in the region.

While stopping drug trafficking was the initial justification for the administration’s push for regime change, White House messaging has shifted in recent days, with officials telling Fox News that it “goes beyond the Maduro regime” and is also about “getting Russia, China, and Iran out of the Western hemisphere.”

On Monday, US Rep. María Salazar (R-Fla.) gave a more candid explanation for the potentially imminent military action and the need for regime change on Fox Business.

Maduro, she said, “is understanding that we’re about to go in.” She went on: “Venezuela, for the American oil companies, will be a field day, because it will be more than a trillion dollars in economic activity. American companies can go in and fix all the oil rigs and everything that has to do with the Venezuelan petroleum companies.”

Prior to returning to office, Trump said at a rally in 2023 that he regretted not invading Venezuela during his first term: “We would have taken [Venezuela] over; we would have gotten to all that oil; it would have been right next door.”

Though the White House appears increasingly committed to military action against Venezuela, it is overwhelmingly unpopular among Americans.

A CBS News/YouGov survey published on Sunday found that 70% of Americans—including 91% of Democrats and 42% of Republicans—are against the “US taking military action in Venezuela,” and a majority don’t believe a direct attack on Venezuela would even achieve the Trump administration’s stated goal of reducing the flow of drugs to the United States.

The same poll found that just 13% of Americans consider Venezuela to be a “major threat” to “US security,” while 48% consider it a “minor threat,” and 39% consider it to be “not a threat.”

Alfons López Tena, a former member of the Catalan parliament and an analyst on public and international affairs, expressed shock at the Trump administration’s brazenness despite the total lack of public consent for war.

“The US doesn’t feel at all like a country marching into war, 70% oppose military action in Venezuela,” he said. “The government’s cursory explanations show they are so heedless of public opinion that they don’t even feel the need to mount a proper propaganda campaign.”

Nathan J. Robinson, the editor-in-chief ofthe left-wing magazine Current Affairs, meanwhile, said he’s not surprised.

“It’s no mystery to a leftist when the US government’s foreign policy is out of step with popular opinion,” he said, “because we understand foreign policy is shaped by narrow elite interests.”

Original article by Stephen Prager republished from Common Dreams under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0).